More than GDP, other statistics, pay close watch on prices

Credit to Author: Tempo Desk| Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2020 16:30:57 +0000

 

EDITORIAL edt

TAAL Volcano’s eruption is bound to have a negative impact on the national economy, but it will not be enough to prevent the attainment of the govern­ment’s 2020 economic growth goal of 6.5 to 7.5 percent this year, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto Pernia, chief of the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA), said Tuesday.

Taal had just erupted with ash-bearing smoke billowing a thousand meters up in the sky. The ash fell on a wide area around the volcano, some blown northward by winds. Much of it fell back to earth where it covered the roofs of houses, trees, and fields of grain and other crops. There were also some 200 earthquakes, which caused cracks in concrete roads and houses.

Government economic officials said they expect some effect on local production as measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but their greater concern is the risk of inflation. The calamity could lead to the severe reduction of supplies of food and other agricultural products, Secretary Pernia said, and this in turn could lead to increased prices of food, coffee, and other basic commodities, as well as transport. Prices of utilities such as electricity and clean water may also increase, he said.

The government is naturally concerned with the GDP as this is the measure of the progress of the national economy. It is the means by which the country’s economic advance is calibrated in comparison with other countries. It is the figure international investors look at when they scout around for places in which to invest their funds.

But more than GDP, we hope the national government will be watching the other figure – market prices – more closely in the wake of Taal volcano’s eruption. There has been a diminution of supply – espec
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